G LO B A L E D U C AT I O N M O N I TO R I N G R E P O R T 2 0 1 6 SUMMARY F I GURE 1 7: Aid to education has yet to return to 2010 levels Total aid to education disbursements, 2002–2014 16 Total aid to basic education Total aid to secondary education 14 Total aid to post-secondary education Constant US$ 2014 billions 12 9.8 8.5 8.9 8 6.5 6 4.2 4.0 2.6 2 0 12.1 1.0 1.1 1.3 14.2 13.6 13.6 12.8 13.1 11.9 11.0 10 4 14.0 5.4 5.1 5.6 5.4 4.8 5.3 5.2 4.9 4.9 4.5 1.2 2.9 3.2 3.6 4.1 2002 2003 2004 2005 2.5 1.6 1.9 2.0 4.5 5.0 5.1 2006 2007 2008 2.4 2.2 6.1 6.2 5.9 2009 2010 2011 2.8 2.8 5.3 5.6 5.3 2012 2013 2014 2.3 Source: GEM Report team analysis based on information in the OECD CRS database. spend 4.6% of GDP on education and allocate 14.2% of public expenditure to education; at least 35 countries spend less than 4% of GDP and allocate less than 15% of public expenditure to education. Analysis of the key public education financing indicators reveals an erratic supply of information. Only 60% of countries have data on total education expenditure as a percentage of GDP for any given year since 2000. To ensure that good data on education expenditure are available, good public expenditure management at the national level is vital. A review of public expenditure must extend to its equity focus and the extent to which it compensates for disadvantage in education. Comparison across countries is feasible but requires considerable effort towards introducing a process, agreeing on a framework and actually carrying out an assessment. To get countries on board, the emphasis should be on establishing a peer review mechanism through which they can learn from one another. AID EXPENDITURE Aid needs to increase at least sixfold to fill the US$39 billion annual financing gap, but in 2014, aid levels were 8% lower than at their peak in 2010. The gap could be filled if donors dedicated 0.7% of gross national income (GNI) to aid and allocated 10% of aid to basic and secondary education; since 2005, total aid flows have fluctuated at around 0.3% of donor countries’ national income. Poorer countries should be prioritized in aid, yet low income countries received 28% of total aid to basic education in 2014 while accounting for 43% of children who do not complete primary school. Levels of humanitarian aid need to be tracked as well. In 2015, education received US$198 million, or less than 1.9% of total humanitarian aid. HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE The share of households in total education expenditure tends to be much higher in poorer than in richer countries. Reducing that share is key to fulfilling the new education targets’ focus on equity. Information on household expenditure is available in most countries. Analysis for the GEM Report showed that at least 99 of the low and middle income countries included relevant questions in a national expenditure survey between 2008 and 2014; 67 included questions on individual expenditure items. However, such data are rarely used. Policy-makers may be unaware of the data’s existence and importance, or their capacity to analyse them and draw relevant conclusions is limited. 57

Select target paragraph3