signs associated with the commission of atrocity crimes and identify situations of concern and
make recommendations for preventative action. The Framework of Analysis is also used by
Member States and civil society actors across the world who are working to advance atrocity
prevention in their communities.
Two of the most critical risk factors identified in the Framework of Analysis are directly related
to the topic of this forum: first, the presence of an armed conflict and second, patterns of
discrimination and marginalization of protected groups, including ethnic and religious
minorities. Preventing conflict and ensuring the protection of minorities are therefore key
ingredients to effective atrocity prevention.
Ladies and gentlemen,
Unfortunately, we are seeing concerning trends across the world when it comes to both risk
areas.
Hard won gains in building democratic institutions and protecting human rights are being
eroded by those who seek to maintain or consolidate power at any cost, leading to tension and
violence. Likewise, we are seeing in situations of armed conflict a growing disregard for
fundamental tenets of international law and protection of civilians. From the deliberate
targeting of civilians by non-State armed groups, to the indiscriminate use of air power by
States against civilian populations and on protected civilian objects, such as hospitals and
schools. From Myanmar, Ethiopia, Syria, Afghanistan, and Yemen, to mention just a few, the
devastating impact of conflict is causing human suffering at an unacceptable scale. The
targeting of civilian populations or the complete disregard for their protection leaves them
vulnerable to mass violence and atrocity crimes.
The second risk factor and topic of your discussion today is the protection of minorities from
discrimination, hate speech and other forms of identity-based violence. Unfortunately, we
continue to witness a global surge in hateful and divisive rhetoric including xenophobia, racism,
antisemitism, anti-Muslim hatred, attacks on Christian communities and misogyny. Such hate
speech is amplified at an unprecedented rate by digital technology and has resulted in hate
crimes, discrimination, and violence. Hate speech, when accompanied by policies and practices
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